The 2023 NFL season is now speeding fast towards the business end and playoff season, and we have expert and free NFL parlay picks for every week as the action hots up.
We are comfortably in profit for the season and we are ready to continue taking on the online sportsbooks again for a spectacular Thanksgiving Day triple-header.
We load up again with another big-odds parlay – here we go…
NFL Parlay Picks & Best Bets: Thanksgiving Day
We have a playoff parlay for you to continue the regular-season action in 2023:
Leg 1: Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown (-125)
There were a ton of naysayers when the Lions used the #12 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft to select RB Jahmyr Gibbs out of Alabama. Where are they now?
Those who thought the pick was too rich for a player who clearly had great talent but maybe not the clear potential to be a lead back in the pros could well be proven wrong.
For the Lions the investment is absolutely paying off – the team is 8-2 with the NFL’s second best record and Jahmyr is really growing into his role in Motown.
Gibbs has found the endzone in each of his last four games, scoring 5 TDs in total. And now he gets the chance to repeat the dose against Detroit’s storied rival Green Bay in a nationally televised game (1230 ET, FOX). Bet him to deliver once again.
Leg 2: Dallas Cowboys win by 14+ (+100)
The Cowboys have dominated weaker opponents in 2023 and they have somehow created a true homefield advantage inside the palatial surrounds of AT&T Stadium.
Dallas has already blasted the New York Jets 30-10, the New England Patriots 38-3, the Los Angeles Rams 43-20 and the New York Giants 49-17 at JerryWorld in 2023, and now it gets the hapless 4-7 Washington Commanders (4.25pm ET, CBS).
In 2021 Dallas hung 56 points on Washington an epic late-season beatdown, and there is every reason to believe they can do something similar here.
The offense is starting to hum with Dak Prescott back in the MVP conversation, CeeDee Lamb performing at an All Pro level and RB Tony Pollard starting to find some holes behind an excellent starting five up front.
It’s the defense though that is the true identity of this team, keyed by the incredible LB Micah Parsons and the terrific CB find DaRon Bland. Trevon who?
The Commanders meanwhile are once again heading for playoff oblivion after dropping two straight to fall to 4-7 on the season, and there is every indication this will be HC Ron Rivera’s last in the nation’s capital.
Dallas is heavily favored to take another win to rise to 8-3, and the odds for a win by at least a couple of scores is well worth including in our Thanksgiving Day parlay.
Leg 3: George Kittle Anytime Touchdown (+115)
George Kittle has feasted on the Seattle Seahawks defense in recent meetings – expect a repeat performance in the Pacific Northwest on Thanksgiving Night.
In his last two matchups with Pete Carroll’s ‘D’, Kittle has caught 13 balls for 274 yards and 4 receiving touchdowns. Absolutely dominant from the 49ers TE.
There are a ton of reasons to believe Gorgeous George can do the same again on Thursday night (8.20pm, NBC) with his team back humming again after that worrying three-game losing skid after a 5-0 start.
QB Brock Purdy is back in the groove, producing two stellar performances in wins over Jacksonville and Tampa, with Kittle a key part of the aerial attack. He can complete the Trifecta by leading his team to a key divisional success here.
Expect Kittle to again be one of his key targets, and we love the chances of him finding the endzone yet again in Seattle.
OddsCritic NFL Parlay Picks for Thanksgiving Day:
- Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown
- Dallas Cowboys to win by 14+ points
- George Kittle Anytime Touchdown
NB: Odds correct when picks made on Wednesday November 22 at 2000 ET.
Your first bet risk-free up to $1000
New customers, participating states, 21+
You can also check out our best NFL prop bets and our NFL picks against the spread plus our picks for both Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football. Or get all our NFL picks this week in one place.
What is a parlay?
A parlay is a bet where winning and losing comes down to a number of selections – not just one.
So for example on an NFL Sunday you could put 6 teams into one parlay bet. All your wagers need to come up for you to win the parlay bet.
The odds multiply as your selections (hopefully) win, a bit like compound interest from your bank.
So the positive thing about a parlay is that as well as being terrific fun – you can win really big.
The downside is you have to get multiple things right to win. Getting one bet right is not easy – how about 3, 4, 5 or maybe even more.
What is the best NFL parlay strategy?
The best strategy when you are doing a parlay is play it safe and simple. Do not go for crazy big odds – remember everything has to hit for you so don’t take risks. And don’t go for exotic bets or markets. Spread or money line is good.
Our advice would be to pick a max of five selections that you are very confident in and don’t even think about the odds unless they are absolutely terrible. The fact they all multiply means you’ll get a nice payout if they all come up.
The reason we’re suggesting this strategy is that online sportsbooks just LOVE parlays. Simply because they are tough to hit on. That should tell you all you need to know. Like we say, go for surefire winners – not hopeful long shots.
Another thing we’d advise as a fun play is to pick the winners of each NFL division before the season starts and put them in a parlay. Eight teams yes, but gives you interest (hopefully) throughout the season. And could be a terrific payoff to buy you a nice holiday in the offseason.
What is a same game parlay?
As it says on the box people, all the legs of your parlay will focus on the same game.
You can put as many legs in as you want, but there is a caveat to everything here. The odds might not be as great as you might imagine – simply because some of the bets will impact each other.
For example, if you bet a team to win on the moneyline, and the same team to be leading at halftime and final, they almost go hand in hand.
Again, if you bet a player to go over his line for rushing yards, there’s a pretty good chance he’ll go over his line for carries too. Same for receiving yards and catches.
So a same game parlay is absolutely a fun way to bet, but the fact so many of the wagers impact each other does hit your odds a little. Like everything in life, there’s an upside and a downside.
How much does a $100 parlay pay?
Well, that really depends on what the odds are.
There are parlay calculators out there that help you work out the odds for your NFL parlay picks. But we’ll give you a couple of examples
Example 2: A $100 parlay where your three selections are +200, +400 and +600
You would win $10,400 and with your $100 stake back too, your total payout would be $10,500
Example 2: A $100 parlay where your four selections are +150, -120 and +210
You would win $1320,82 and with your stake back too your total payout would be $1420.82
The answer is pretty much anything you want. And a ton of sportsbooks now offer same-game parlay functions to make it easy. Worth bearing in mind though that same-game parlays often have pretty bad odds because some of the outcomes affect each other. For example if a quarterback throws 4 TD passes, pretty good chance his team wins…
Every online sportsbooks offers parlay bets, and you can build some really nice wagers off the back of them. That’s what our NFL parlay picks page aims to do for you.
Like we said, you need every single leg of your parlay bet to win. If just one loses, you’re cooked. So while the upside is huge as those odds compound, it’s tough to get a big one to hit.
Depends which teams you are betting, and whether you are betting them moneyline or Against The Spread (ATS). Put your selections into a betslip on your chosen sportsbook and you will be able to see your odds and potential win. Some websites also have parlay calculators, which are really useful
Honestly, the best parlay bet is one that wins! We really like same game parlays because you are effectively writing a script for how you think a game will go. The odds are not quite as big as the outcomes are all linked, but work out what you think will happen in the game, then pick bets to match up. For example if you’re betting the Under on Total Points, do not then pick one of the teams to have a crazy high number of points – the two don’t match up.
